The industry enters October and is in desperate need of a rebound from the August and September lows.
The slump was preceded by a strong summer, with June registering only -16% behind the same month of the last pre-pandemic year of 2019; July saw only a drop of -12%. But things changed drastically when August fell -44% from the same month in 2019. September was even worse, ending perhaps less than -50% behind 2019. September 2022 even ended below September 2021, when the box office was still only tentatively beginning to recover from the Covid pandemic. Over Labor Day weekend in early September of this year, the release schedule was so sparse that re-releases accounted for not one but two of the top 10 films in the frame: 1975 Jaws and 2021 Spider-Man: No Coming Home.
October seems to be giving the box office a boost, though admittedly it won’t be until later in the year that two potentially gargantuan sequels (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever and Avatar: The Way of the Water) hit the screens. (The two original installments grossed over $700 million.) Yet in October, Hollywood unveils a new DC Comics adaptation, a romantic comedy starring two of the biggest movie stars on the planet, a sequel to horror and even a musical with original songs.
Here are the biggest movies coming to theaters in October 2022.
friday october 7
Premise: Margot Robbie, Christian Bale and John David Washington (BlacKkKlansman and Principle) play all three leads in 20th Century Studios’ historic crime comedy-drama set in the 1930s. David O. Russell wrote and directed, with an all-star supporting cast including Robert De Niro, Rami Malek, Anya Taylor-Joy, Zoe Saldana, Taylor Swift, Chris Rock, Michael Shannon and Mike Myers.
Box office: Current projections are around $35-60 million, consistent with Russell’s previous release from 2015 Joy ($56.4 million). Similar adult crime movies with big casts include those from 2021 Gucci House ($53.8M), 2013 gangster squad ($46.0 million) and those of 2015 The big court ($70.2 million).
Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile
friday october 7
Premise: Based on Bernard Waber’s best-selling 1960s picture book series about a crocodile that lives in New York, Sony Pictures musical stars Shawn Mendes as the voice of the CGI animated reptile, with Javier Bardem and Constance Wu as as live friends. The original songs for the film were co-written by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul, who previously wrote songs for The Earth and The greatest showman.
Box office: Current projections are around $65-95 million, according to DC League of Super Pets at $91.6 million (to date) and on track for a total of around $95 million. Other comparable films with live-action humans and CGI animals include those from 2016 pete’s dragon ($76.2M), 2018 Christopher Robin ($99.2 million) and 2015 Alvin and the Chipmunks: Road Chip ($85.8 million). The fact that Mendes posts multiple times on his Instagram account with over 70 million followers surely won’t hurt the box office either.
friday october 14
Premise: From the title, one would assume this is Universal’s last installment in the long run. Halloween horror franchise, which dates back to 1978. Jamie Lee Curtis’ character, Laurie Strode, is back, having miraculously survived all previous encounters with masked serial killer Michael Myers. David Gordon Green, who directed the previous two installments of the franchise, returns behind the camera.
Box office: Pre-existing box office screenings disappeared when Universal announced Ends would air day and date simultaneously in both theaters and on Peacock, a short story that was only released on August 23, less than two months before the film was released. Universal used the same day and date release strategy for the previous October 2021 installment halloween kills, which grossed $92.0 million. This marked a -42% drop from pre-pandemic, theatrical exclusive Halloween, which grossed $159.3 million.
friday 21 october
Premise: The newest entry from Warner Bros.’ DC Extended Universe stars Dwayne Johnson as the titular antihero. The film has been in the works for some time, and Johnson is reportedly in talks for the role as early as 2007. Pierce Brosnan will co-star, with Jaume Collet-Serra directing after previously helming Johnson’s 2021 film Jungle Cruise.
Box office: Current projections have this gain somewhere around the same amount as DC’s 2019 release. Shazam! with $140.3 million. Many of Johnson’s more recent live-action lead roles have also earned in that $100-200 million range, including those in 2018. Carnage ($101.0M), 2019 Hobbs & Shaw ($173.9M) and 2021 Jungle Cruise ($116.9 million with a simultaneous day and date release in theaters and on Disney+).
ticket to paradise
friday 21 october
Premise: Universal’s rom-com pairs George Clooney and Julia Roberts as a divorced couple who sense old sparks returning when they team up and travel to the tropics in an attempt to stop their daughter from marrying a man she just married. to encounter. The Real Life Friends have starred in four previous films: 2001 Ocean’s Eleven2002 Confessions of a Dangerous Spirit2004 Ocean’s Twelveand 2016 silver monster. Ol Parker (2018 Mama Mia! : Here we go again) directed.
Box office: According to current projections, this film will make between 40 and 65 million dollars. Although far from being in the same genre, the aforementioned Clooney/Roberts silver monster earned a similar $41.0 million. An ideal scenario would be March’s romantic comedy (and fantasy adventure) The lost city with $105.3 million.
friday october 28
Premise: The 1955 murder of 14-year-old black boy Emmett Till in Mississippi became a focal point of the civil rights movement after his mother Mamie Till-Mobley insisted on an open funeral and national publication of the photograph of the corpse . The historical drama from United Artists Releasing stars Jalyn Hall as Emmett Till and Danielle Deadwyler as her mother. Chinonye Chukwu (Clemency) directed.
Box office: Until opens in limited release on Friday, October 14 before expanding two weeks later. Worst case scenario could be Aretha Franklin’s 2021 biopic Respect ($24.2 million). Average comparisons would include the Harriet Tubman biopic from 2019 Harriet ($43.0M), 2015 Selma ($52.0 million) and those of 2013 12 years of slavery ($56.6 million). Best, albeit unlikely, scenarios including recipes like 2013 42 ($95.0M) or 2013 Lee Daniels’ Butler ($116.6 million).
prey for the devil
friday october 28
Premise: The Lionsgate Horror stars Jacqueline Byers as Sister Ann, a nun who realizes the demon she must exorcise from a young girl is the same one that haunted her own mother years before. The film has been long delayed, originally scheduled for January 2021. Daniel Stamm directs, 2010s The Last Exorcismdirected.
Box office: The Last Exorcism won $41.0 million, although Devil seems highly unlikely to match – its total may not even reach ExorcismThe opening take of $20.3 million. For comparison, last year’s main pre-Halloween weekend horror release was wood, which ended with a total of $10.6 million. In 2019, this main horror release was Countdownwhich grossed over $25.6 million.